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The New York Times called it the "most important number in finance." The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) has long been the global basis for agreements that include a variable interest rate component. In 2018, in eventual response to scandals during the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve and regulators in the U.S. and UK confirmed that LIBOR would be replaced by other benchmarks by the end of 2021.
Now, with less than two years until the phase out, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) are advising public companies and regulated entities to assess their risk exposure, quantify the financial impact, develop remediation plans and communicate material information to stakeholders. Doing so will require significant efforts across numerous business units within impacted corporations. Key among them will be the identification, analysis and remediation of LIBOR-based contracts.
Representative of an estimated $400 trillion in financial contracts, LIBOR will not be easy to phase out. By the time it is retired, any contracts that either lack a fallback provision or have not been renegotiated, will be left without a rate benchmark. As a result, legal, compliance and treasury teams at financial institutions are now under pressure to make substantial progress in identifying contracts subject to transition, determining how they are impacted and remediating agreements according to new and evolving standards or face potential litigation exposure post-transition.
This process takes time, and legal counsel will need runway to complete contract renegotiation by the deadline. The massive volume of contracts impacted alone makes LIBOR transition a major undertaking. Further complicating the issue is uncertainty about the replacement standards — which have not been fully determined and will likely vary between jurisdictions. Banks and other institutions will need to set up their contract transition plans and related technologies with flexibility to adapt to changing standards as they are defined or revised.
Also of note is the impact of the current coronavirus pandemic. In late March, the FCA issued a statement that it is considering the impact of the coronavirus on firms' transition plans. For now, the timeline is moving forward unchanged. Financial institutions are expected to continue working toward the existing deadline, while monitoring for any updated guidance from the FCA.
|Artificial intelligence technology solutions — that can automatically identify and extract LIBOR transition-relevant terms and conditions — will play a key role in enabling the process. But AI technology alone isn't a silver bullet for this complicated and sensitive matter. As institutions prepare to sunset LIBOR and address their contracts accordingly, the following checklist of tips, tricks and considerations can help keep the process on track:
Many financial institutions are unprepared to make the transition away from LIBOR. But we're seeing an increased focus on this initiative for 2020 as they recognize the complexity that will be involved in repapering certain agreements. Financial institutions that take quick action on addressing their LIBOR-based contracts, and allow ample time for contract renegotiation, will be in a much stronger position to reduce their overall risk and exposure relating to new benchmarks and standards.
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Ryan Drimalla is a managing director with FTI Consulting, where he leads FTI Technology's Contract Intelligence service. Karl Dorwart is a Senior Director at FTI Consulting and is based in New York. Mr. Dorwart has deep legal services industry experience in contract lifecycle management.
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