New U.S.-China Investment Dynamic Focuses On AI and Sensitive Technologies

The full implementation of the regulations is a long way away, as the Treasury Department released its Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) in parallel with the Executive Order. The timeline provides for a 45-day public comment period, to be followed by draft regulations issued by Treasury and a subsequent comment opportunity prior to the finalization of the regulations.

Lay of the Land: Fortifying National Security with Economic Security

The key facets of the outbound investment regulations as stated in the Executive Order and proposed in the ANPRM include:

• The Executive Order covers investments in China, which includes Hong Kong and Macau, together "countries of concern."
• The Executive Order will pertain to U.S. citizens, lawful permanent residents, entities organized under the laws of the U.S. or any jurisdiction within the U.S., including any foreign branches of any such entities, and any person in the U.S. Treasury is considering whether "indirect" transactions will be in scope of the regulations, to prevent U.S. persons from seeking to end-around the rules by utilizing foreign intermediaries.
• Regarding technologies under consideration for regulation, the Executive Order and accompanying ANPRM defines the term "covered national security technologies and products" to include "sensitive technologies and products in the semiconductors and microelectronics, quantum information technologies, and artificial intelligence sectors that are critical for the military, intelligence, surveillance, or cyber-enabled capabilities."
• The Executive Order imposes two types of restrictions on outbound investments. The first is an absolute prohibition on U.S. investment in certain Chinese "covered national security technologies and products." The other restriction is more akin to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), as modified by the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act of 2018 (FIRRMA) and provides for a notification requirement for U.S. investments in other Chinese "covered national security technologies and products."
• The notification process will seek detailed information about the transaction, including the identities and backgrounds of the parties to the transaction, the nature of the technology for which the investment will be applied, and copies of relevant transaction documents and other agreements, all to be provided electronically.

Once final regulations are promulgated, there will be an additional 12 months for the Treasury Department to evaluate the effectiveness of the regulations, and subsequent revisions may be proposed should the rules not be meeting their desired outcomes or catch too many unanticipated investments — just as occurred with the FIRRMA regulations that were modified after a short experience with the original regulations. Given the runway ahead, there is time for organizations and investors to prepare for what this means for the future.